Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: Bayer Leverkusen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig preview and prediction
The match
RB Leipzig travel to BayArena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 20 September (14:30 WAT) to face Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen are 5th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top half), while RB Leipzig sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bayer Leverkusen's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Celje 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
RB Leipzig's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Hamburger SV 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.6 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.6 for RB Leipzig. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 72%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Bayer Leverkusen or draw (79%) at 1.33.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.35.
Value angle: Bayer Leverkusen to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bayer Leverkusen or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 RB Leipzig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayer Leverkusen56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.90
RB Leipzig21%fair 4.73 · @3.10
4.17Expected goals
2.56Bayer Leverkusen xG
1.61RB Leipzig xG
72%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.6 – 1.6 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Bayer Leverkusen or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Bayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.26
–
Form
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
WDWLWW
16 Sep
vs Celje
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ FC Augsburg
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Union Berlin
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ SV Elversberg
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ SV Wehen
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Newcastle
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 6
WLLWWL
13 Sep
vs Hamburger SV
5–0
W
10 Sep
@ Como
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Eintracht Trier
6–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
