Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Berlin to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 preview and prediction
The match
FC Schalke 04 travel to face Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Friday 11 September (19:30 WAT). Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while FC Schalke 04 sit 17th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Berlin's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
FC Schalke 04's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Bayern München 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Union Berlin and 1.5 for FC Schalke 04. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Berlin 42%, draw 23%, FC Schalke 04 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Berlin 1–1 FC Schalke 04. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Berlin42%fair 2.35 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
FC Schalke 0435%fair 2.89 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.72Union Berlin xG
1.53FC Schalke 04 xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.7 – 1.5 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Berlin to win✗
42%
2.35
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Berlin / FT Union Berlin✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Union Berlin – last 6
LDWLWD
5 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Ipswich
2–4
L
9 Aug
vs Aris
3–2
W
2 Aug
vs Cagliari
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
DLDLLW
5 Sep
vs Bayern München
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Hallescher FC
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Atalanta
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Hessen Kassel
5–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Schalke 04 35%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–1 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
