Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRB Leipzig to win ✓68% · @1.35
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV preview and prediction
The match
Hamburger SV travel to Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 13 September (14:30 WAT) to face RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig are 4th with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Hamburger SV sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
RB Leipzig's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Como 1–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Hamburger SV's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to FSV Mainz 05 0–5 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for RB Leipzig and 1.0 for Hamburger SV. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RB Leipzig68%fair 1.47 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @5.00
Hamburger SV13%fair 7.65 · @7.00
3.50Expected goals
2.47RB Leipzig xG
1.03Hamburger SV xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig 2.5 – 1.0 Hamburger SV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hamburger SV 13%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
