Valenciennes host Orleans in the National 1 on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Orleans sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Valenciennes's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Cannes 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Orleans's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Villefranche 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Valenciennes and 1.3 for Orleans. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Valenciennes 1–1 Orleans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenciennes38%fair 2.62 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
Orleans38%fair 2.62 · @2.62
2.52Expected goals
1.26Valenciennes xG
1.26Orleans xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.3 – 1.3 Orleans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenciennes to win✗
38%
2.62
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.83
–
Form
Valenciennes – last 6
LDLWLL
31 Oct
@ Cannes
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Amiens
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Versailles
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ La Roche VF
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orleans – last 6
DLDDLL
31 Oct
vs Villefranche
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Quevilly
2–3
L
1 Oct
@ Bastia
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Cannes
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Amiens
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Versailles
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Orleans.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Orleans?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Orleans?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orleans 38%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Orleans?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Orleans?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Orleans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Orleans?
Valenciennes vs Orleans (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
