Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Amiens to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmiens to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceAmiens or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos preview and prediction
The match
Thionville Lusitanos travel to Stade de la Licorne in the National 1 on Thursday 29 October (20:45 WAT) to face Amiens. Amiens are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Thionville Lusitanos sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Amiens's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Valenciennes 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Thionville Lusitanos's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Versailles 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Amiens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Amiens and 0.7 for Thionville Lusitanos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Amiens to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Amiens 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amiens64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Thionville Lusitanos14%fair 7.36 · @4.20
2.40Expected goals
1.74Amiens xG
0.66Thionville Lusitanos xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.7 – 0.7 Thionville Lusitanos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Amiens or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Amiens ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
Amiens – last 6
DWDWDW
17 Oct
@ Valenciennes
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Villefranche
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Orleans
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ Cannes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Bastia
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
LLLDLD
17 Oct
vs Versailles
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs La Roche VF
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Fleury 91
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Rouen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Concarneau
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and Thionville Lusitanos.
What is the prediction for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Our pick is Amiens to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
On our numbers Amiens have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thionville Lusitanos 14%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Our predicted score is Amiens 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
