The National 1 sees Bastia take on Orleans on Thursday 1 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Armand Cesari. Bastia are 13th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Orleans sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bastia's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Gobelins 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Orleans's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Cannes 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Bastia and 0.9 for Orleans. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bastia 40%, draw 25%, Orleans 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Bastia 1–1 Orleans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bastia40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Orleans34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
2.00Expected goals
1.06Bastia xG
0.94Orleans xG
54%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.1 – 0.9 Orleans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✗
40%
2.48
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.99
–
Form
Bastia – last 6
LDWLWL
26 Sep
@ Gobelins
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Cannes
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Amiens
0–3
L
27 Aug
@ Caen
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Versailles
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Orleans – last 6
DLLDLW
26 Sep
vs Cannes
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Amiens
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Versailles
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs La Roche VF
0–1
L
20 Aug
@ Fleury 91
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Orleans.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bastia vs Orleans?
On our numbers Bastia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Orleans 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Orleans?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Orleans?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–1 Orleans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Orleans?
Bastia vs Orleans (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
