Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.96
Caen vs Rouen preview and prediction
The match
Caen host Rouen in the National 1 on Thursday 24 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Caen are 3rd with 22 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Rouen sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Caen's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Concarneau 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rouen's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Aubagne 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rouen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Rouen 1–1 Caen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Caen and 1.3 for Rouen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caen 35%, draw 25%, Rouen 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Caen 1–1 Rouen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caen35%fair 2.88 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Rouen40%fair 2.51 · @2.60
2.43Expected goals
1.16Caen xG
1.27Rouen xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Caen 1.2 – 1.3 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Caen vs Rouen?
On our numbers Caen have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rouen 40%.
How many goals will there be in Caen vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caen vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Caen 1–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Caen vs Rouen?
Caen vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
