Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Rouen vs Valenciennes preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Rouen take on Valenciennes on Thursday 3 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Robert Diochon. Rouen are 2nd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Valenciennes sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rouen's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Villefranche 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valenciennes's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Concarneau 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rouen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Rouen and 0.8 for Valenciennes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Rouen to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rouen or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rouen 1–0 Valenciennes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rouen57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Valenciennes18%fair 5.68 · @3.60
2.37Expected goals
1.60Rouen xG
0.77Valenciennes xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.6 – 0.8 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Rouen – last 6
WWWDWW
29 Aug
@ Villefranche
2–0
W
20 Aug
vs Quevilly
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Orleans
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Cannes
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Boulogne
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 6
DLWLDW
29 Aug
vs Concarneau
0–0
D
20 Aug
@ Gobelins
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Caen
0–4
L
31 Jul
vs Boulogne
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Eastleigh
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Valenciennes.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rouen vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers Rouen have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valenciennes 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Valenciennes?
Rouen vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
