Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLugano II to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Lugano II vs Bellinzona preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga Promotion sees Lugano II take on Bellinzona on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Lugano II are 16th with 13 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Bellinzona sit 18th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Lugano II's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Grand-Saconnex 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bellinzona's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Brühl 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Lugano II and 1.6 for Bellinzona. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lugano II 41%, draw 23%, Bellinzona 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lugano II 1–1 Bellinzona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lugano II41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Bellinzona37%fair 2.74 · @2.45
3.25Expected goals
1.67Lugano II xG
1.58Bellinzona xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lugano II 1.7 – 1.6 Bellinzona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugano II to win✗
41%
2.46
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugano II / FT Lugano II✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
Lugano II – last 6
WLLLLW
17 Oct
@ Grand-Saconnex
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Kreuzlingen
2–3
L
3 Oct
@ Paradiso
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Cham
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ FC Schaffhausen
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Basel II
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bellinzona – last 6
WLLDLW
21 Oct
vs Brühl
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ YF Juventus
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Zürich II
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Breitenrain
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Grand-Saconnex
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Kreuzlingen
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano II and Bellinzona.
What is the prediction for Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
On our numbers Lugano II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bellinzona 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
Our predicted score is Lugano II 1–1 Bellinzona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
Lugano II vs Bellinzona (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
