Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Paradiso to win @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultParadiso to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceParadiso or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Paradiso vs Young Boys II preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga Promotion sees Paradiso take on Young Boys II on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Paradiso are 5th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Young Boys II sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Paradiso's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Bulle 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Young Boys II's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Cham 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Paradiso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for Paradiso and 1.1 for Young Boys II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paradiso 67%, draw 21%, Young Boys II 12%.
Safer route: Paradiso or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Paradiso to win at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paradiso or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paradiso 2–1 Young Boys II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paradiso67%fair 1.48 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.00
Young Boys II12%fair 8.62 · @4.00
3.62Expected goals
2.55Paradiso xG
1.06Young Boys II xG
53%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Paradiso 2.6 – 1.1 Young Boys II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paradiso to win✗
67%
1.48
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Paradiso or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Paradiso ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paradiso / FT Paradiso✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Form
Paradiso – last 6
DWWLWW
10 Oct
@ Bulle
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Lugano II
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Brühl
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs YF Juventus
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Zürich II
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Bellinzona
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Young Boys II – last 6
LLLDWW
10 Oct
vs Cham
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ FC Schaffhausen
3–6
L
26 Sep
vs Basel II
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Amical Saint-Prex
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Bavois
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Biel-Bienne
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paradiso and Young Boys II.
What is the prediction for Paradiso vs Young Boys II?
Our pick is Paradiso or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Paradiso vs Young Boys II?
On our numbers Paradiso have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Young Boys II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Paradiso vs Young Boys II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paradiso vs Young Boys II?
Our predicted score is Paradiso 2–1 Young Boys II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Paradiso vs Young Boys II?
Paradiso vs Young Boys II (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
