Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParadiso to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceParadiso or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Paradiso vs Lugano II preview and prediction
The match
Lugano II travel to face Paradiso in the 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT). Paradiso are 5th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Lugano II sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paradiso's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Brühl 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Lugano II's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Cham 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Paradiso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished Paradiso 1–1 Lugano II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Paradiso and 1.0 for Lugano II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paradiso 68%, draw 21%, Lugano II 11%.
Safer route: Paradiso or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paradiso to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Paradiso 2–1 Lugano II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paradiso68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.40
Lugano II11%fair 8.81 · @4.80
3.56Expected goals
2.53Paradiso xG
1.03Lugano II xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Paradiso 2.5 – 1.0 Lugano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paradiso to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paradiso vs Lugano II?
On our numbers Paradiso have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lugano II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Paradiso vs Lugano II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paradiso vs Lugano II?
Our predicted score is Paradiso 2–1 Lugano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Paradiso vs Lugano II?
Paradiso vs Lugano II (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
