Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCham to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Lugano II vs Cham preview and prediction
The match
Lugano II host Cham in the 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT). Lugano II are 16th with 13 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Cham sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lugano II's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to FC Schaffhausen 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Cham's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Brühl 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Lugano II and 2.2 for Cham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lugano II 22%, draw 13%, Cham 65%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cham to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lugano II 1–2 Cham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lugano II22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Draw13%fair 7.50 · @3.80
Cham65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
3.39Expected goals
1.16Lugano II xG
2.23Cham xG
55%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Lugano II 1.2 – 2.2 Cham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cham to win✓
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Cham ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cham / FT Cham✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Lugano II – last 6
LWLWLW
19 Sep
@ FC Schaffhausen
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Basel II
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Amical Saint-Prex
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Bavois
3–2
W
23 Aug
@ Biel-Bienne
2–5
L
15 Aug
vs Luzern II
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cham – last 6
WLWDWW
19 Sep
vs Brühl
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ YF Juventus
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Zürich II
4–0
W
29 Aug
vs Bellinzona
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Grand-Saconnex
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Kreuzlingen
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano II and Cham.
Our pick is Cham to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Lugano II vs Cham?
On our numbers Lugano II have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Cham 65%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano II vs Cham?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano II vs Cham?
Our predicted score is Lugano II 1–2 Cham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Lugano II vs Cham?
Lugano II vs Cham (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
