Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Breitenrain to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBellinzona to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Bellinzona vs Breitenrain preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga Promotion sees Bellinzona take on Breitenrain on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Bellinzona are 18th with 9 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Breitenrain sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bellinzona's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Grand-Saconnex 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Breitenrain's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Biel-Bienne 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Breitenrain arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Bellinzona and 1.4 for Breitenrain. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 64%.
Value angle: Breitenrain to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Bellinzona 1–1 Breitenrain. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bellinzona39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Breitenrain38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.75Expected goals
1.38Bellinzona xG
1.37Breitenrain xG
64%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Bellinzona 1.4 – 1.4 Breitenrain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bellinzona to win✗
39%
2.56
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bellinzona / FT Bellinzona✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
Bellinzona – last 6
LWLDLL
19 Sep
@ Grand-Saconnex
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Kreuzlingen
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Paradiso
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ Cham
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ FC Schaffhausen
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Basel II
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Breitenrain – last 6
LLWLWW
19 Sep
vs Biel-Bienne
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Grand-Saconnex
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Luzern II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kreuzlingen
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Young Boys II
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Paradiso
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bellinzona and Breitenrain.
What is the prediction for Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
On our numbers Bellinzona have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Breitenrain 38%.
How many goals will there be in Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
Our predicted score is Bellinzona 1–1 Breitenrain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
Bellinzona vs Breitenrain (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
