Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBavois to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Bavois vs Luzern II preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga Promotion sees Bavois take on Luzern II on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Bavois are 17th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Luzern II sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bavois's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Young Boys II 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Luzern II's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Biel-Bienne 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Bavois arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Bavois and 1.0 for Luzern II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bavois 61%, draw 17%, Luzern II 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bavois to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bavois 1–0 Luzern II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bavois61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @3.80
Luzern II22%fair 4.53 · @3.50
2.93Expected goals
1.92Bavois xG
1.01Luzern II xG
65%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bavois 1.9 – 1.0 Luzern II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bavois to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Bavois ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bavois / FT Bavois✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Bavois – last 6
LWLDLL
12 Sep
@ Young Boys II
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Bulle
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Lugano II
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Brühl
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ YF Juventus
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Servette FC
0–7
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Luzern II – last 6
LLDLLL
12 Sep
vs Biel-Bienne
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Breitenrain
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Young Boys II
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Bulle
2–3
L
15 Aug
@ Lugano II
3–4
L
8 Aug
vs Brühl
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bavois and Luzern II.
Our pick is Bavois to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Bavois vs Luzern II?
On our numbers Bavois have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Luzern II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Bavois vs Luzern II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bavois vs Luzern II?
Our predicted score is Bavois 1–0 Luzern II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bavois vs Luzern II?
Bavois vs Luzern II (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
