Value bet: Fach-Donaufeld to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFach-Donaufeld to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.84
Leobendorf vs Fach-Donaufeld preview and prediction
The match
Fach-Donaufeld travel to Franz Haas Stadion in the Regionalliga Ost on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT) to face Leobendorf. Leobendorf are 13th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Fach-Donaufeld sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leobendorf's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Scheiblingkirchen 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Fach-Donaufeld's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Wienerberg 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Leobendorf and 1.5 for Fach-Donaufeld. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Fach-Donaufeld to win at 2.20 – 48% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Leobendorf 1–2 Fach-Donaufeld. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leobendorf32%fair 3.10 · @2.62
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Fach-Donaufeld48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
2.71Expected goals
1.18Leobendorf xG
1.53Fach-Donaufeld xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Leobendorf 1.2 – 1.5 Fach-Donaufeld expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fach-Donaufeld to win✗
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fach-Donaufeld / FT Fach-Donaufeld✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.84
–
Form
Leobendorf – last 6
LLWWLL
4 Oct
@ Scheiblingkirchen
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Wiener Viktoria
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Wiener SC
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Mattersburg SV 2020
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Favoritner AC
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Oberwart
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fach-Donaufeld – last 6
WWDLDL
3 Oct
vs Wienerberg
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Gloggnitz
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Scheiblingkirchen
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Wiener Viktoria
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Wiener SC
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Mattersburg SV 2020
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leobendorf and Fach-Donaufeld.
What is the prediction for Leobendorf vs Fach-Donaufeld?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Leobendorf vs Fach-Donaufeld?
On our numbers Leobendorf have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fach-Donaufeld 48%.
How many goals will there be in Leobendorf vs Fach-Donaufeld?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leobendorf vs Fach-Donaufeld?
Our predicted score is Leobendorf 1–2 Fach-Donaufeld, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leobendorf vs Fach-Donaufeld?
Leobendorf vs Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga Ost) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Franz Haas Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.