Double chanceAtletico Madrid W or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Madrid W host Valencia W in the Primera División Femenina on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares. Atletico Madrid W are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Valencia W sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Madrid W's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Madrid CFF W 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valencia W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Athletic Club W 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Atletico Madrid W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Atletico Madrid W and 0.7 for Valencia W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Madrid W 72%, draw 19%, Valencia W 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Madrid W to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Atletico Madrid W 2–0 Valencia W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Madrid W72%fair 1.38 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.80
Valencia W9%fair 11.59 · @8.00
3.07Expected goals
2.34Atletico Madrid W xG
0.73Valencia W xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Madrid W 2.3 – 0.7 Valencia W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid W to win✓
72%
1.38
1.29
Double chance
Atletico Madrid W or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Atletico Madrid W ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.84
–
Form
Atletico Madrid W – last 6
WWLWLW
18 Oct
vs Madrid CFF W
4–0
W
3 Oct
@ Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Athletic Club W
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Edf Logrono W
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Barcelona W
2–4
L
6 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés W
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valencia W – last 6
LLLLLL
17 Oct
@ Athletic Club W
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Real Sociedad W
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Granad. Tenerife W
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Real Madrid W
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Edf Logrono W
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Madrid CFF W
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Madrid W and Valencia W.
What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
Our pick is Atletico Madrid W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
On our numbers Atletico Madrid W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valencia W 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid W 2–0 Valencia W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
