Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Madrid CFF W to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club W to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Femenina sees Madrid CFF W take on Athletic Club W on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Fernando Torres. Madrid CFF W are 4th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Athletic Club W sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Madrid CFF W's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Deportivo Alavés W 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Athletic Club W's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Atletico Madrid W 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Athletic Club W 4–1 Madrid CFF W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Madrid CFF W and 1.7 for Athletic Club W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Madrid CFF W 33%, draw 22%, Athletic Club W 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Madrid CFF W to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Madrid CFF W 1–1 Athletic Club W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Madrid CFF W33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
Athletic Club W44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
3.10Expected goals
1.42Madrid CFF W xG
1.68Athletic Club W xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Madrid CFF W 1.4 – 1.7 Athletic Club W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W?
On our numbers Madrid CFF W have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club W 44%.
How many goals will there be in Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W?
Our predicted score is Madrid CFF W 1–1 Athletic Club W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W?
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fernando Torres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
