Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain

Numancia

WDLDD
6–0
FT

Calvo Sotelo

LDLDL

Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.26 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNumancia to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceNumancia or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.59
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54

Win chances

Numancia68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.00
Calvo Sotelo11%fair 9.32 · @7.50
2.27Expected goals
1.75Numancia xG
0.52Calvo Sotelo xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Numancia 1.8 – 0.5 Calvo Sotelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Numancia are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Calvo Sotelo.

Numancia have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Calvo Sotelo have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.8 for Numancia, 0.5 for Calvo Sotelo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNumancia to win ✓68%1.481.36
Double chanceNumancia or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.881.59
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.26
Half-time resultNumancia ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Numancia / FT Numancia ✓43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.54–

Form

Numancia – last 6

WDLDDD
1 Nov@ Atlético Tordesillas2–1W
29 Octvs Oviedo3–3D
24 Octvs Navalcarnero2–3L
18 Octvs CF Talavera0–0D
11 Oct@ Real Ávila1–1D
4 Oct@ Getafe II0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Calvo Sotelo – last 6

LDLDLW
1 Novvs Guadalajara1–2L
25 Oct@ Getafe II2–2D
18 Oct@ SS Reyes1–2L
11 Octvs RSD Alcalá0–0D
4 Oct@ Real Valladolid II0–3L
27 Sepvs Atlético Tordesillas1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Numancia and Calvo Sotelo.

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

FT Getafe II2 SS Reyes0 362439 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.29 ✓ FT Guadalajara2 Navalcarnero2 602516 1Guadalajara to win 60%@1.79 ✗ FT Atlético Paso1 RSD Alcalá1 452233 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.21 ✓ FT Albacete II1 Gimnástica Segoviana0 342244 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.26 ✗ FT A Madrid III3 Atlético Tordesillas3 432234 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.26 ✓ Postponed CF Talavera Conquense 432334 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.41 FT Real Ávila1 Salamanca UDS3 332244 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

On our numbers Numancia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Calvo Sotelo 11%.

How many goals will there be in Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

When is Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.