Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain
Guadalajara
Navalcarnero
Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero prediction & analysis
Guadalajara to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.79 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Guadalajara 2.2 – 1.1 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Guadalajara hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 16% for Navalcarnero.
Guadalajara have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. Navalcarnero have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Guadalajara, 1.1 for Navalcarnero). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Guadalajara to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.79 is better than our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Guadalajara to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.79 ▲ |
| Double chance | Guadalajara or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| Half-time result | Guadalajara ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.14 | – |
Form
Guadalajara – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Calvo Sotelo | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Real Valladolid II | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Atlético Tordesillas | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Getafe II | 4–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ Real Madrid III | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Gimnástica Segoviana | 3–3 | D |
Navalcarnero – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Atlético Paso | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Numancia | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Salamanca UDS | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | @ Recreativo Huelva | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs A Madrid III | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ RSD Alcalá | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara and Navalcarnero.
More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions
Getafe II2
SS Reyes0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.29
✓
FT
Numancia6
Calvo Sotelo0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.26
✗
FT
Atlético Paso1
RSD Alcalá1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.21
✓
FT
Albacete II1
Gimnástica Segoviana0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.26
✗
FT
A Madrid III3
Atlético Tordesillas3
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.26
✓
Postponed
CF Talavera
Conquense
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.41
FT
Real Ávila1
Salamanca UDS3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.25
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Guadalajara to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.79.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers Guadalajara have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Navalcarnero 16%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.