Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain
A Madrid III
Atlético Tordesillas
A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓
Value bet: Atlético Tordesillas to win @ 3.18 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: A Madrid III 1.4 – 1.2 Atlético Tordesillas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
A Madrid III hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 34% for Atlético Tordesillas.
A Madrid III have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Atlético Tordesillas have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for A Madrid III, 1.2 for Atlético Tordesillas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Atlético Tordesillas to win at 3.18 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | A Madrid III to win ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | 2.13 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT A Madrid III / FT A Madrid III ✗ | 24% | 4.13 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.71 | – |
Form
A Madrid III – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs CF Talavera | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Albacete II | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Gimnástica Segoviana | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Navalcarnero | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Conquense | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Real Madrid III | 2–0 | W |
Atlético Tordesillas – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Numancia | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs Mirandes | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Gimnástica Segoviana | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Guadalajara | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Real Madrid III | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Salamanca UDS | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between A Madrid III and Atlético Tordesillas.
More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions
Getafe II2
SS Reyes0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.29
✓
FT
Guadalajara2
Navalcarnero2
1Guadalajara to win
60%@1.79
✗
FT
Numancia6
Calvo Sotelo0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.26
✗
FT
Atlético Paso1
RSD Alcalá1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.21
✓
FT
Albacete II1
Gimnástica Segoviana0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.26
✗
Postponed
CF Talavera
Conquense
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.41
FT
Real Ávila1
Salamanca UDS3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.25
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
On our numbers A Madrid III have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlético Tordesillas 34%.
How many goals will there be in A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.