Value bet: Numancia to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSS Reyes to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.42
SS Reyes vs Numancia preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees SS Reyes take on Numancia on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). SS Reyes are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Numancia sit 1st on 19 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SS Reyes's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Real Valladolid II 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Numancia's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat A Madrid III 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for SS Reyes and 1.0 for Numancia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SS Reyes 46%, draw 24%, Numancia 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Numancia to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 2.00, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SS Reyes 1–1 Numancia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SS Reyes46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
Numancia31%fair 3.27 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.28SS Reyes xG
0.97Numancia xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: SS Reyes 1.3 – 1.0 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Reyes to win✗
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Reyes / FT SS Reyes✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Form
SS Reyes – last 6
WWLWLD
12 Sep
vs Real Valladolid II
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético Tordesillas
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Atlético Baleares
0–3
L
30 May
vs UD Logroñés
1–0
W
24 May
@ UD Logroñés
0–1
L
17 May
vs Alcoyano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Numancia – last 6
WWWLLW
13 Sep
vs A Madrid III
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético Paso
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Zaragoza
2–1
W
17 May
@ Poblense
1–2
L
10 May
vs Poblense
0–1
L
3 May
vs Marino de Luanco
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Reyes and Numancia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Numancia?
On our numbers SS Reyes have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Numancia 31%.
How many goals will there be in SS Reyes vs Numancia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Reyes vs Numancia?
Our predicted score is SS Reyes 1–1 Numancia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is SS Reyes vs Numancia?
SS Reyes vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
