Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.31
7/10Rating
1.31Odds
2
Value bet: Ciudad de Lucena to win @ 2.33 – our chance 55% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCiudad de Lucena to win55% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @2.07
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.58
Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena preview and prediction
The match
Ciudad de Lucena travel to face Las Palmas II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 15 November (12:30 WAT). Las Palmas II are 18th with 5 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Ciudad de Lucena sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Las Palmas II's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Marbella 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ciudad de Lucena's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Badajoz 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ciudad de Lucena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.9 for Las Palmas II and 1.7 for Ciudad de Lucena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Palmas II 24%, draw 21%, Ciudad de Lucena 55%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 2.07.
Value angle: Ciudad de Lucena to win at 2.33 – 55% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Las Palmas II 0–1 Ciudad de Lucena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Palmas II24%fair 4.16 · @2.58
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.32
Ciudad de Lucena55%fair 1.83 · @2.33
2.55Expected goals
0.86Las Palmas II xG
1.68Ciudad de Lucena xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Las Palmas II 0.9 – 1.7 Ciudad de Lucena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Las Palmas II
Ciudad de Lucena
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 4 average
-41%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
-19%
Our expected goals here
0.75
1.70
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 4 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Lucena to win
55%
1.83
2.33 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.23
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.92
2.07 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.58
–
Form
Las Palmas II – last 6
LLLLDL
8 Nov
@ Marbella
1–2
L
1 Nov
vs Atlético Central
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Sanluqueño
1–4
L
18 Oct
vs Puente Genil
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Tenerife II
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Recreativo Huelva
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
DWLDWW
8 Nov
vs Badajoz
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs Sanluqueño
2–1
W
27 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Estepona
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Xerez
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Don Benito
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas II and Ciudad de Lucena.
What is the prediction for Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
On our numbers Las Palmas II have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ciudad de Lucena 55%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas II 0–1 Ciudad de Lucena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
