Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Don Benito to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDon Benito to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceDon Benito or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.87
Don Benito vs Sanluqueño preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Don Benito take on Sanluqueño on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Don Benito are 2nd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Sanluqueño sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Don Benito's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Xerez 0–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanluqueño's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Sevilla Atletico 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Don Benito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Don Benito and 0.8 for Sanluqueño. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Don Benito 57%, draw 23%, Sanluqueño 20%.
Safer route: Don Benito or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Don Benito to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Don Benito or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Don Benito 1–0 Sanluqueño. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Don Benito57%fair 1.74 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Sanluqueño20%fair 5.05 · @3.75
2.39Expected goals
1.59Don Benito xG
0.80Sanluqueño xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Don Benito 1.6 – 0.8 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Don Benito to win✓
57%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Don Benito or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Don Benito / FT Don Benito✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.87
–
Form
Don Benito – last 6
DWWWWW
20 Sep
@ Xerez
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
3 May
vs Diocesano
8–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santa Amalia
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuaga
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanluqueño – last 6
DWDWLL
20 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Tamaraceite
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Marbella
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabadell
0–2
L
13 Feb
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Don Benito and Sanluqueño.
What is the prediction for Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
Our pick is Don Benito or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Don Benito have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sanluqueño 20%.
How many goals will there be in Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
Our predicted score is Don Benito 1–0 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
Don Benito vs Sanluqueño (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
