Value bet: Puente Genil to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuente Genil to win ✗48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Puente Genil vs Estepona preview and prediction
The match
Puente Genil host Estepona in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Puente Genil are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Estepona sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Puente Genil's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Recreativo Huelva 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Estepona's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Linares Deportivo 1–4 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Puente Genil 1–0 Estepona.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Puente Genil and 1.1 for Estepona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Puente Genil to win at 2.40 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Puente Genil 1–1 Estepona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puente Genil48%fair 2.07 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Estepona28%fair 3.54 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.51Puente Genil xG
1.08Estepona xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.5 – 1.1 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Puente Genil vs Estepona?
On our numbers Puente Genil have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estepona 28%.
How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Puente Genil 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Puente Genil vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
