Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @3.25
Double chanceBadajoz or draw ✓81% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.12
Badajoz vs Tenerife II preview and prediction
The match
Badajoz host Tenerife II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Badajoz are 4th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Tenerife II sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Badajoz's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Cuarte 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tenerife II's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Tenerife 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Badajoz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Badajoz and 1.3 for Tenerife II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Badajoz 24%, draw 57%, Tenerife II 19%.
Safer route: Badajoz or draw (81%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Draw at 3.25 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Badajoz or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Badajoz 1–1 Tenerife II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Badajoz24%fair 4.14 · @2.25
Draw57%fair 1.77 · @3.25
Tenerife II19%fair 5.18 · @2.80
2.67Expected goals
1.39Badajoz xG
1.28Tenerife II xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Badajoz 1.4 – 1.3 Tenerife II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
57%
1.77
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Badajoz or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Badajoz / FT Badajoz✓
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.12
–
Form
Badajoz – last 6
DWDWWL
20 Jun
@ Cuarte
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Cuarte
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Moralo
0–0
D
31 May
@ Moralo
2–0
W
24 May
vs Jaraíz
2–0
W
17 May
@ Jaraíz
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tenerife II – last 6
LLLWLW
18 Jul
@ Tenerife
0–3
L
3 May
vs SS Reyes
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Conquense
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs CD Coria
4–0
W
12 Apr
vs Elche II
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Socuéllamos
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badajoz and Tenerife II.
What is the prediction for Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
Our pick is Badajoz or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Tenerife II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
Our predicted score is Badajoz 1–1 Tenerife II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
Badajoz vs Tenerife II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
