Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIntercity to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceIntercity or draw ✗82% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Intercity vs Castellonense preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Intercity take on Castellonense on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Camp Municipal Antonio Solana. Intercity are 9th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Castellonense sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Intercity's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Cieza 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Castellonense's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Deportiva Minera 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Castellonense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Intercity and 0.9 for Castellonense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Intercity to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Intercity 1–0 Castellonense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Intercity60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Castellonense18%fair 5.42 · @4.00
2.67Expected goals
1.81Intercity xG
0.87Castellonense xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Intercity 1.8 – 0.9 Castellonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Intercity to win✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Intercity or draw✗
82%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Intercity ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Intercity / FT Intercity✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.01
–
Form
Intercity – last 6
LDWDDW
11 Oct
@ Cieza
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Ucam Murcia
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Castellón II
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Castellonense – last 6
LWLWWW
11 Oct
@ Deportiva Minera
2–3
L
4 Oct
vs Real Murcia II
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Cieza
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Poblense
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Ucam Murcia
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Intercity and Castellonense.
What is the prediction for Intercity vs Castellonense?
Our pick is Intercity to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Intercity vs Castellonense?
On our numbers Intercity have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Castellonense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Intercity vs Castellonense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Intercity vs Castellonense?
Our predicted score is Intercity 1–0 Castellonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Intercity vs Castellonense?
Intercity vs Castellonense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Camp Municipal Antonio Solana.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
