Value bet: Elche II to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultElche II to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.65
Elche II vs Valencia II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Elche II take on Valencia II on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Elche II are 16th with 8 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Valencia II sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Elche II's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Ucam Murcia 1–5 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Valencia II's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Peña Deportiva 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Elche II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Elche II and 1.1 for Valencia II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elche II 38%, draw 24%, Valencia II 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Elche II to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Elche II 1–1 Valencia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elche II38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Valencia II38%fair 2.66 · @2.25
2.30Expected goals
1.15Elche II xG
1.15Valencia II xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Elche II 1.2 – 1.1 Valencia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elche II to win✓
38%
2.63
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elche II / FT Elche II✓
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.65
–
Form
Elche II – last 6
LLWLDW
3 Oct
vs Ucam Murcia
1–5
L
27 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Cieza
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Valencia II – last 6
WLLLDL
4 Oct
vs Peña Deportiva
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Poblense
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Ucam Murcia
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Mallorca II
1–1
D
3 May
@ Olot
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche II and Valencia II.
What is the prediction for Elche II vs Valencia II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Elche II vs Valencia II?
On our numbers Elche II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valencia II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Elche II vs Valencia II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elche II vs Valencia II?
Our predicted score is Elche II 1–1 Valencia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Elche II vs Valencia II?
Elche II vs Valencia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
