Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrihuela to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceOrihuela or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Orihuela vs Castellón II preview and prediction
The match
Castellón II travel to face Orihuela in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Saturday 26 September (17:30 WAT). Orihuela are 12th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Castellón II sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Orihuela's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Deportiva Minera 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Castellón II's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Valencia II 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Orihuela and 0.9 for Castellón II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orihuela 63%, draw 23%, Castellón II 14%.
Safer route: Orihuela or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orihuela to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orihuela 1–0 Castellón II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orihuela63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Castellón II14%fair 6.90 · @4.10
2.83Expected goals
1.98Orihuela xG
0.85Castellón II xG
45%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Orihuela 2.0 – 0.9 Castellón II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Orihuela or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Orihuela ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.59
–
Form
Orihuela – last 6
DDWWLW
20 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
2–2
D
16 Sep
vs Real Murcia
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ FC Cartagena
0–3
L
3 May
vs Getafe II
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Castellón II – last 6
WWLLWD
19 Sep
@ Valencia II
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Alcoyano
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Terrassa
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Reddis
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Teruel
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Castellón II.
What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Castellón II?
Our pick is Orihuela to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Orihuela vs Castellón II?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Castellón II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Castellón II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Castellón II?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–0 Castellón II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Castellón II?
Orihuela vs Castellón II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
