Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Barbastro to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarbastro to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceBarbastro or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.67
Barbastro vs Peña Sport preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 2 sees Barbastro take on Peña Sport on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT). Barbastro are 12th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Peña Sport sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barbastro's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Tudelano 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Peña Sport's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Huesca 1–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Barbastro and 0.6 for Peña Sport. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barbastro 61%, draw 25%, Peña Sport 14%.
Safer route: Barbastro or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Barbastro to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barbastro or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barbastro 1–0 Peña Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barbastro61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
Peña Sport14%fair 7.13 · @3.50
2.19Expected goals
1.58Barbastro xG
0.61Peña Sport xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Barbastro 1.6 – 0.6 Peña Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barbastro to win✗
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Barbastro or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barbastro / FT Barbastro✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.67
–
Form
Barbastro – last 6
DDLDDL
24 Oct
@ Tudelano
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Manresa
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ UD Logroñés II
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Utebo
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Náxara
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Barcelona B
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Peña Sport – last 6
LDDLWL
29 Oct
vs Huesca
1–5
L
24 Oct
vs Reddis
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Calamocha
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Náxara
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs SD Logroñés
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Barcelona B
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbastro and Peña Sport.
What is the prediction for Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
Our pick is Barbastro or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
On our numbers Barbastro have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Peña Sport 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
Our predicted score is Barbastro 1–0 Peña Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
Barbastro vs Peña Sport (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
