Value bet: Ebro to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultManresa to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.29
Manresa vs Ebro preview and prediction
The match
Manresa host Ebro in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Manresa are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Ebro sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Manresa's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Barbastro 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ebro's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Girona II 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ebro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Manresa and 1.0 for Ebro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manresa 43%, draw 24%, Ebro 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Ebro to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Manresa 1–1 Ebro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manresa43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Ebro33%fair 3.01 · @3.30
2.14Expected goals
1.17Manresa xG
0.97Ebro xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Manresa 1.2 – 1.0 Ebro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manresa to win✓
43%
2.33
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manresa / FT Manresa✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.29
–
Form
Manresa – last 6
DDWLLW
18 Oct
@ Barbastro
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Reddis
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs UD Logroñés II
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Tudelano
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Peña Sport
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ebro – last 6
LWWWLW
17 Oct
vs Girona II
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Calamocha
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Arnedo
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Terrassa
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Osasuna II
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Reddis
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manresa and Ebro.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Manresa vs Ebro?
On our numbers Manresa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ebro 33%.
How many goals will there be in Manresa vs Ebro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manresa vs Ebro?
Our predicted score is Manresa 1–1 Ebro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Manresa vs Ebro?
Manresa vs Ebro (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
