Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.75
Náxara vs Barbastro preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 2 sees Náxara take on Barbastro on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Náxara are 16th with 6 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Barbastro sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Náxara's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Reddis 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Barbastro's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Barcelona B 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Barbastro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Náxara and 1.6 for Barbastro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Náxara 27%, draw 22%, Barbastro 50%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barbastro to win – a 50% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Náxara 0–1 Barbastro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Náxara27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Barbastro50%fair 1.98 · @2.20
2.61Expected goals
1.06Náxara xG
1.56Barbastro xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Náxara 1.1 – 1.6 Barbastro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barbastro to win✗
50%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barbastro / FT Barbastro✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.75
–
Form
Náxara – last 6
LLLWLW
20 Sep
@ Reddis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Olot
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Barcelona B
0–5
L
14 Aug
@ Haro Deportivo
4–1
W
2 May
@ Eibar II
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Beasain
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barbastro – last 6
LDWLWW
20 Sep
vs Barcelona B
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Terrassa
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Girona II
4–3
W
22 Aug
@ Huesca
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atlètic Lleida
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Zaragoza
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Náxara and Barbastro.
Our pick is Barbastro to win with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Náxara vs Barbastro?
On our numbers Náxara have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barbastro 50%.
How many goals will there be in Náxara vs Barbastro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Náxara vs Barbastro?
Our predicted score is Náxara 0–1 Barbastro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Náxara vs Barbastro?
Náxara vs Barbastro (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
