Value bet: Utebo to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlot to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.05
Olot vs Utebo preview and prediction
The match
Utebo travel to face Olot in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 19 September (17:30 WAT). Olot are 5th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Utebo sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Olot's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Náxara 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Utebo's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with SD Logroñés 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Olot and 1.1 for Utebo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olot 44%, draw 22%, Utebo 34%.
Value angle: Utebo to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Olot 1–1 Utebo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olot44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Utebo34%fair 2.97 · @3.20
2.52Expected goals
1.37Olot xG
1.15Utebo xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Olot 1.4 – 1.1 Utebo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olot to win✗
44%
2.26
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olot / FT Olot✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.05
–
Form
Olot – last 6
WDDLDL
13 Sep
@ Náxara
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Ebro
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Sant Andreu
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Sabadell
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Gimnastic
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Girona
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Utebo – last 6
DDLLWL
13 Sep
vs SD Logroñés
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Peña Sport
1–1
D
17 May
@ Águilas
1–2
L
3 May
@ Sestao River
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Ebro
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Real Unión
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olot and Utebo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Olot vs Utebo?
On our numbers Olot have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Utebo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Olot vs Utebo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olot vs Utebo?
Our predicted score is Olot 1–1 Utebo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Olot vs Utebo?
Olot vs Utebo (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.