Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Manresa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultManresa to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceManresa or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.83
Manresa vs Peña Sport preview and prediction
The match
Manresa host Peña Sport in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Manresa are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Peña Sport sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Manresa's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Arnedo 4–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Peña Sport's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Utebo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Manresa and 1.0 for Peña Sport. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 50% and both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manresa 59%, draw 22%, Peña Sport 19%.
Safer route: Manresa or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Manresa to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Manresa or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Manresa 1–1 Peña Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manresa59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
Peña Sport19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
2.95Expected goals
1.94Manresa xG
1.01Peña Sport xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Manresa 1.9 – 1.0 Peña Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manresa to win✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Manresa or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Manresa ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manresa / FT Manresa✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.83
–
Form
Manresa – last 6
WDLWDL
6 Sep
@ Arnedo
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Atlètic Lleida
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Sant Andreu
1–3
L
12 Aug
vs Vilanova
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Grama
0–0
D
3 May
@ Cornellà
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Peña Sport – last 6
DDDWDW
6 Sep
vs Utebo
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Mutilvera
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ San Juan
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Ardoi
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Beti Kozkor
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Aoiz
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manresa and Peña Sport.
Our pick is Manresa or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Manresa vs Peña Sport?
On our numbers Manresa have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peña Sport 19%.
How many goals will there be in Manresa vs Peña Sport?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manresa vs Peña Sport?
Our predicted score is Manresa 1–1 Peña Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Manresa vs Peña Sport?
Manresa vs Peña Sport (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
