Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Diosgyori VTK to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDiosgyori VTK to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceDiosgyori VTK or draw ✓89% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka preview and prediction
The match
The NB II sees Diosgyori VTK take on Ajka on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at DVTK Stadion. Diosgyori VTK are 8th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Ajka sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Diosgyori VTK's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Soroksar 0–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Ajka's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Karcag SE 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Diosgyori VTK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.6 for Diosgyori VTK and 1.2 for Ajka. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Diosgyori VTK to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Diosgyori VTK or draw – a 89% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Diosgyori VTK 2–1 Ajka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Diosgyori VTK63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Ajka11%fair 8.96 · @4.20
3.75Expected goals
2.57Diosgyori VTK xG
1.18Ajka xG
60%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Diosgyori VTK 2.6 – 1.2 Ajka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diosgyori VTK to win✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Diosgyori VTK or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Diosgyori VTK ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diosgyori VTK / FT Diosgyori VTK✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.91
–
Form
Diosgyori VTK – last 6
LWWLDW
9 Aug
@ Soroksar
0–4
L
25 Jul
@ Nagykanizsai ULE
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ FK Košice
7–2
W
18 Jul
vs Cigand SE
2–5
L
11 Jul
vs Ujpest
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Mezokovesd-zsory
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajka – last 6
DWLLWL
8 Aug
vs Karcag SE
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Kecskeméti TE
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs Csakvar
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Gyirmot SE
0–2
L
1 Jul
vs Zalaegerszegi TE
3–2
W
17 May
@ Vasas
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diosgyori VTK and Ajka.
Our pick is Diosgyori VTK or draw with a 89% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka?
On our numbers Diosgyori VTK have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ajka 11%.
How many goals will there be in Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka?
Our predicted score is Diosgyori VTK 2–1 Ajka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka?
Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka (NB II) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at DVTK Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
