Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21
8/10Rating
1.21Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win43% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.81
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas preview and prediction
The match
Marek host Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in the Second League on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadion Bonchuk. Marek are 13th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Marek's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Hebar 1918 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Yantra 2019 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Marek 3–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Marek and 1.3 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marek 31%, draw 26%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.82.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Marek 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marek31%fair 3.22 · @3.12
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.14
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas43%fair 2.31 · @2.07
2.38Expected goals
1.07Marek xG
1.30Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Marek 1.1 – 1.3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Marek
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Attack vs Second League average
-16%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-27%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.22
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win
43%
2.31
2.07
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.82
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.77
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
What is the prediction for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Marek have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 43%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Marek 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
