ResultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.29
Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Nesebar take on Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Gradski stadion. Nesebar are 14th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nesebar's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Hebar 1918 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Sportist Svoge 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Nesebar and 1.5 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Nesebar 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nesebar31%fair 3.21 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
2.62Expected goals
1.14Nesebar xG
1.48Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nesebar 1.1 – 1.5 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win✓
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.29
–
Form
Nesebar – last 6
LLDDLW
23 Oct
@ Hebar 1918
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Rodopa Smolyan
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Vihren
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Beroe
4–3
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
DLWWWW
23 Oct
vs Sportist Svoge
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Dobrudzha
3–0
W
4 Oct
@ Volov Shumen
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Montana
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nesebar and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
What is the prediction for Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Nesebar have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 47%.
How many goals will there be in Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Nesebar 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.