Value bet: Ludogorets II to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLudogorets II to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II preview and prediction
The match
Ludogorets II travel to Stadion Pleven in the Second League on Monday 21 September (17:00 WAT) to face Spartak Pleven. Spartak Pleven are 10th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Ludogorets II sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spartak Pleven's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ludogorets II's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Fratria 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ludogorets II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Ludogorets II 3–1 Spartak Pleven.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Spartak Pleven and 1.4 for Ludogorets II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spartak Pleven 36%, draw 23%, Ludogorets II 41%.
Value angle: Ludogorets II to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Spartak Pleven 1–1 Ludogorets II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Pleven36%fair 2.74 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Ludogorets II41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.62Expected goals
1.26Spartak Pleven xG
1.35Ludogorets II xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Pleven 1.3 – 1.4 Ludogorets II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
On our numbers Spartak Pleven have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ludogorets II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
Our predicted score is Spartak Pleven 1–1 Ludogorets II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II (Second League) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pleven.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
