Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Nesebar take on Rilski Sportist on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion. Nesebar are 14th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Rilski Sportist sit 12th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nesebar's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Marek 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rilski Sportist's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Sportist Svoge 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Nesebar and 1.1 for Rilski Sportist. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Nesebar 1–1 Rilski Sportist. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nesebar46%fair 2.17 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Rilski Sportist32%fair 3.16 · @2.88
2.50Expected goals
1.40Nesebar xG
1.10Rilski Sportist xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nesebar 1.4 – 1.1 Rilski Sportist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nesebar to win✓
46%
2.17
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nesebar / FT Nesebar✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Nesebar – last 6
LDWWWL
2 Sep
@ Marek
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Yantra 2019
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
7–0
W
16 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Montana
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rilski Sportist – last 6
WDWDDL
2 Sep
vs Sportist Svoge
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Dobrudzha
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Montana
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Spartak Pleven
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Fratria
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nesebar and Rilski Sportist.
What is the prediction for Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
On our numbers Nesebar have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rilski Sportist 32%.
How many goals will there be in Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
Our predicted score is Nesebar 1–1 Rilski Sportist, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
