Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Zaragoza to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZaragoza to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceZaragoza or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Zaragoza vs Villarreal II preview and prediction
The match
Zaragoza host Villarreal II in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Ibercaja Estadio. Zaragoza are 1st with 24 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Villarreal II sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zaragoza's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Tudelano 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villarreal II's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat FC Cartagena 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Zaragoza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Villarreal II 0–2 Zaragoza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Zaragoza and 1.1 for Villarreal II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zaragoza 59%, draw 24%, Villarreal II 16%.
Safer route: Zaragoza or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Zaragoza to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zaragoza or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Zaragoza 2–1 Villarreal II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zaragoza59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Villarreal II16%fair 6.18 · @3.60
3.22Expected goals
2.14Zaragoza xG
1.08Villarreal II xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Zaragoza 2.1 – 1.1 Villarreal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Zaragoza vs Villarreal II?
Our pick is Zaragoza or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Zaragoza vs Villarreal II?
On our numbers Zaragoza have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villarreal II 16%.
How many goals will there be in Zaragoza vs Villarreal II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zaragoza vs Villarreal II?
Our predicted score is Zaragoza 2–1 Villarreal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Zaragoza vs Villarreal II?
Zaragoza vs Villarreal II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Ibercaja Estadio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
