Value bet: Algeciras to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Jaén to win ✓38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Real Jaén vs Algeciras preview and prediction
The match
Real Jaén host Algeciras in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT) at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria. Real Jaén are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Algeciras sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Real Jaén's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Atlético Madrid II 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Algeciras's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Real Madrid II 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Algeciras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Real Jaén and 1.3 for Algeciras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Jaén 38%, draw 25%, Algeciras 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Algeciras to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Real Jaén 1–1 Algeciras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Jaén38%fair 2.62 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.88
Algeciras36%fair 2.74 · @3.10
2.67Expected goals
1.35Real Jaén xG
1.32Algeciras xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.4 – 1.3 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✓
38%
2.62
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✓
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Real Jaén – last 6
DWDDLW
25 Oct
@ Atlético Madrid II
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Villarreal II
3–3
D
3 Oct
@ Hércules
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Antequera
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 6
WWLWWD
25 Oct
vs Real Madrid II
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Hércules
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Europa Fc
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Águilas
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Algeciras.
What is the prediction for Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Algeciras 36%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
Real Jaén vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
