Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcorcon to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon preview and prediction
The match
Alcorcon travel to face Atlético Madrid II in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Friday 30 October (21:00 WAT). Atlético Madrid II are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Alcorcon sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atlético Madrid II's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Real Jaén 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Alcorcon's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Ibiza 3–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Alcorcon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Atlético Madrid II and 1.7 for Alcorcon. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Madrid II 35%, draw 23%, Alcorcon 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Alcorcon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Madrid II35%fair 2.84 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Alcorcon42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
3.22Expected goals
1.53Atlético Madrid II xG
1.69Alcorcon xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.5 – 1.7 Alcorcon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
42%
2.39
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Atlético Madrid II – last 6
DLDLLD
25 Oct
vs Real Jaén
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Gimnastic
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Zaragoza
4–4
D
2 Oct
@ Real Madrid II
2–3
L
25 Sep
vs Villarreal II
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Huesca
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcorcon – last 6
DDLWWW
25 Oct
vs Ibiza
3–3
D
16 Oct
vs Huesca
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Teruel
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Juventud Torremolinos
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ Real Madrid II
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Gimnastic
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Madrid II and Alcorcon.
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alcorcon 42%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Alcorcon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
