Ibiza host Real Madrid II in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadi Municipal de Can Misses. Ibiza are 6th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Real Madrid II sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ibiza's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Villarreal II 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Real Madrid II's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Atlético Madrid II 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Ibiza and 1.1 for Real Madrid II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ibiza 45%, draw 23%, Real Madrid II 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Ibiza 1–1 Real Madrid II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ibiza45%fair 2.20 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Real Madrid II31%fair 3.20 · @3.10
2.42Expected goals
1.36Ibiza xG
1.06Real Madrid II xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ibiza 1.4 – 1.1 Real Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibiza to win✗
45%
2.20
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibiza / FT Ibiza✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.29
–
Form
Ibiza – last 6
WLLWWL
4 Oct
@ Villarreal II
1–0
W
25 Sep
vs Zaragoza
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Real Jaén
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Sant Andreu
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Antequera
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Madrid II – last 6
WLDLWD
2 Oct
vs Atlético Madrid II
3–2
W
27 Sep
vs Alcorcon
1–2
L
23 Sep
@ Sant Andreu
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Águilas
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ Teruel
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ibiza and Real Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Ibiza vs Real Madrid II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Ibiza vs Real Madrid II?
On our numbers Ibiza have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Madrid II 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ibiza vs Real Madrid II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ibiza vs Real Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Ibiza 1–1 Real Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ibiza vs Real Madrid II?
Ibiza vs Real Madrid II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Can Misses.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
