Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Jaén to win ✓49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.97
Teruel vs Real Jaén preview and prediction
The match
Teruel host Real Jaén in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Pinilla. Teruel are 20th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Real Jaén sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Teruel's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Real Murcia 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Jaén's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Huesca 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Real Jaén arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Teruel and 1.4 for Real Jaén. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Teruel 29%, draw 22%, Real Jaén 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 53% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Teruel 1–1 Real Jaén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Teruel29%fair 3.49 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Real Jaén49%fair 2.04 · @2.30
2.43Expected goals
1.00Teruel xG
1.43Real Jaén xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Teruel 1.0 – 1.4 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✓
49%
2.04
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.97
–
Form
Teruel – last 6
LDWDLD
6 Sep
@ Real Murcia
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Valencia U21
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Castellón II
0–0
D
22 May
@ Marbella
1–3
L
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Jaén – last 6
DWLLWW
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
6 Aug
vs Cordoba
1–2
L
31 May
@ Atlético Baleares
0–1
L
24 May
vs Atlético Baleares
2–1
W
17 May
@ Deportivo Alavés II
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Real Jaén.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Teruel vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Teruel have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Jaén 49%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Teruel 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Real Jaén?
Teruel vs Real Jaén (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
