Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Murcia to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Atlético Madrid II take on Real Murcia on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Atlético Madrid II are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Real Murcia sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Atlético Madrid II's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Hércules 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Real Murcia's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Mensajero 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Real Murcia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Real Murcia 2–1 Atlético Madrid II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Atlético Madrid II and 1.6 for Real Murcia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Madrid II 37%, draw 25%, Real Murcia 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Real Murcia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Madrid II37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Real Murcia38%fair 2.66 · @2.80
3.25Expected goals
1.62Atlético Madrid II xG
1.63Real Murcia xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.6 – 1.6 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Murcia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia?
Atlético Madrid II vs Real Murcia (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
