Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal II to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceVillarreal II or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.04
Villarreal II vs Algeciras preview and prediction
The match
Algeciras travel to Estadio de la Ceramica in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Friday 4 September (18:00 WAT) to face Villarreal II. Villarreal II are 2nd with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Algeciras sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Villarreal II's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Rayo Majadahonda 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Algeciras's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to FC Cartagena 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Villarreal II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Villarreal II 4–0 Algeciras.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Villarreal II and 1.0 for Algeciras. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villarreal II 59%, draw 23%, Algeciras 18%.
Safer route: Villarreal II or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Villarreal II to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Villarreal II 1–1 Algeciras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal II59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.20
Algeciras18%fair 5.58 · @4.00
2.99Expected goals
1.98Villarreal II xG
1.01Algeciras xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 2.0 – 1.0 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Algeciras 18%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Villarreal II vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
