Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Murcia to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.83
Real Murcia vs Teruel preview and prediction
The match
Teruel travel to Estadio Enrique Roca in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 6 September (17:15 WAT) to face Real Murcia. Real Murcia are 3rd with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Teruel sit 20th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Murcia's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Hércules 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Teruel's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Real Madrid II 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Murcia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Real Murcia and 0.3 for Teruel. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Murcia 63%, draw 22%, Teruel 15%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Murcia to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Murcia 1–0 Teruel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Murcia63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.00
Teruel15%fair 6.50 · @5.00
1.50Expected goals
1.17Real Murcia xG
0.33Teruel xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–026%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.2 – 0.3 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✓
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
26%
3.83
–
Form
Real Murcia – last 6
WDWWLW
29 Aug
@ Hércules
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Albacete
1–1
D
5 Aug
@ Cieza
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Eldense
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
24 May
vs Eldense
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Teruel – last 6
DWDLDD
31 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Valencia U21
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Castellón II
0–0
D
22 May
@ Marbella
1–3
L
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Teruel.
Our pick is Real Murcia to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Teruel?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Teruel 15%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Teruel?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Teruel?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Teruel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Teruel?
Real Murcia vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
