Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.42Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 58% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓58% · @3.10
Double chanceReal Madrid II or draw ✓80% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Teruel vs Real Madrid II preview and prediction
The match
Real Madrid II travel to Pinilla in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Monday 31 August (20:15 WAT) to face Teruel. Teruel are 20th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Real Madrid II sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Teruel's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Valencia U21 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Madrid II's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Atlético Baleares 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Teruel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Teruel and 1.3 for Real Madrid II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Teruel 20%, draw 58%, Real Madrid II 22%.
Safer route: Real Madrid II or draw (80%) at 1.42.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Draw at 3.10 – 58% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Madrid II or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Teruel 1–1 Real Madrid II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Teruel20%fair 5.04 · @2.70
Draw58%fair 1.73 · @3.10
Real Madrid II22%fair 4.47 · @2.45
2.58Expected goals
1.26Teruel xG
1.32Real Madrid II xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Teruel 1.3 – 1.3 Real Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
58%
1.73
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Real Madrid II or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.42 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Teruel – last 6
WDLDDW
12 Aug
@ Valencia U21
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Castellón II
0–0
D
22 May
@ Marbella
1–3
L
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Villarreal II
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Madrid II – last 6
LLDDDW
21 Aug
vs Atlético Baleares
0–2
L
20 Aug
vs Zamora
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Ponferradina
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Mirandes
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Racing Ferrol
2–2
D
5 Aug
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Real Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
Our pick is Real Madrid II or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
On our numbers Teruel have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Real Madrid II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Teruel 1–1 Real Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Real Madrid II?
Teruel vs Real Madrid II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
