La Liga · Spain · Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia

WLDDL

0–3

Real Madrid

WWWWW

Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction & analysis

75%

Footrivo pick

Real Madrid to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Madrid to win ✓75% · @1.22

Double chanceReal Madrid or draw ✓94% · @1.07

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.91

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.47

Win chances

Valencia6%fair 15.68 · @11.00

Draw18%fair 5.50 · @7.00

Real Madrid75%fair 1.33 · @1.22

3.12Expected goals

0.66Valencia xG

2.46Real Madrid xG

45%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–213%

0–311%

0–111%

1–29%

1–37%

1–17%

From our goals model: Valencia 0.7 – 2.5 Real Madrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Real Madrid travel as clear favourites – 75% to win, against 6% for Valencia.

Valencia have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Real Madrid have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 3.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Real Madrid come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.1 goals (0.7 for Valencia, 2.5 for Real Madrid). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–2 (13%), 0–3 (11%), 0–1 (11%).

Our pick is Real Madrid to win at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.33.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Madrid to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.22
Double chance	Real Madrid or draw ✓	94%	1.07	1.07
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	58%	1.71	1.73
Half-time result	Real Madrid ahead at half-time ✓	56%	1.78	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Madrid / FT Real Madrid ✓	53%	1.90	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–2 ✗	13%	7.47	–

Form

Valencia – last 6

WLDDLW

1 Nov	@ Elche	1–0	W
24 Oct	vs Villarreal	1–2	L
17 Oct	vs Athletic Club	0–0	D
11 Oct	@ Racing Santander	2–2	D
20 Sep	vs Real Sociedad	2–3	L
15 Sep	@ Alaves	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Real Madrid – last 6

WWWWWW

4 Nov	@ AEK Athens FC	3–2	W
1 Nov	@ Racing Santander	3–0	W
25 Oct	@ Barcelona	2–1	W
21 Oct	vs RB Leipzig	4–1	W
18 Oct	vs Sevilla	4–1	W
14 Oct	@ AS Roma	4–3	W

3.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Valencia and Real Madrid.

La Liga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	+35	33
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	12	9	1	2	+13	28
4	Real Betis	12	8	2	2	+5	26
5	Real Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+1	22
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	+4	16
8	Villarreal	12	4	3	5	+2	15
9	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	+1	15
10	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	-13	14
11	Celta Vigo	12	2	7	3	0	13
12	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Getafe	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	-11	12
17	Levante	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	-14	5

More La Liga predictions

League hub →

Malaga1

Racing Santander2 382339 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓ FT

Espanyol0

Deportivo La Coruna0 432334 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT

Osasuna1

Athletic Club1 312149 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Our pick is Real Madrid to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?

On our numbers Valencia have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid 75%.

How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Real Madrid?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

When is Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Valencia vs Real Madrid (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.