Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo preview and prediction
The match
Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 16:15 (WAT) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Celta Vigo sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rayo Vallecano's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Recreativo Huelva 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Celta Vigo's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Real Betis 0–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celta Vigo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.3 for Celta Vigo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rayo Vallecano 37%, draw 24%, Celta Vigo 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Celta Vigo to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rayo Vallecano37%fair 2.71 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Celta Vigo39%fair 2.58 · @3.00
2.58Expected goals
1.27Rayo Vallecano xG
1.31Celta Vigo xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.3 – 1.3 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✗
39%
2.58
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
DLDDWL
27 Oct
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Elche
0–3
L
19 Oct
@ Getafe
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Osasuna
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Real Madrid
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 6
DWWLDW
25 Oct
vs Real Betis
0–0
D
22 Oct
@ Celtic
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Alaves
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Juventus
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Elche
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Racing Santander
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta Vigo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
