Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.10
Valencia vs Athletic Club preview and prediction
The match
Athletic Club travel to Estadio de Mestalla in the La Liga on Saturday 17 October (20:00 WAT) to face Valencia. Valencia are 19th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Athletic Club sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Valencia's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Racing Santander 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Athletic Club's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Alaves 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Athletic Club arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Athletic Club 0–1 Valencia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Valencia and 1.4 for Athletic Club. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valencia 30%, draw 22%, Athletic Club 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Athletic Club to win at 2.25 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valencia 1–1 Athletic Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valencia30%fair 3.34 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.20
Athletic Club48%fair 2.09 · @2.25
2.43Expected goals
1.03Valencia xG
1.40Athletic Club xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%
From our goals model: Valencia 1.0 – 1.4 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valencia vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Valencia have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club 48%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Valencia 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Athletic Club?
Valencia vs Athletic Club (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
